[Archived] The Relegation Thread

[chaddyrovers]

Looked at the remaining 12 fixtures for each of the bottom five and I think Rovers will be safe by just 1 point.

My prediction:

16 Bolton 36

17 Rovers 34

18 Wolves 33

19 & 20 QPR & Wigan 32

I agree with Wigan and Wolves will go but IMO Bolton will go aswell.

QPR will just stay up on the last day of the season.

Rovers will stay up with a Win against Wigan at the last home game.

Aston Villa With 29 points already on the board, don't see too many difficulties.

Alot of Villa fans reckon they will go down. alot of tough games ahead against top 10 sides

[philipl]

How the heck anyone can tip Rovers to stay up when we have lost at home to Wolves and Bolton is beyond me.

[PAFELL]

How the heck anyone can tip Rovers to stay up when we have lost at home to Wolves and Bolton is beyond me.

Strange things can happen. Rovers got a win at Old Trafford and a draw at Anfield. Strange results in a strange season.

[Exiled in Toronto]

How the heck anyone can tip Rovers to stay up when we have lost at home to Wolves and Bolton is beyond me.

Because, by definition since they won 3 points off us and are not 3 points ahead of us, we have done better than them in the other 24 games against everyone else.

[thenodrog]

One club will always find a run of good form based on togetherness and spirit. Usually one with a new manager.

I can't see us qualifying for that effect after the submission on Saturday. People will say Man City were awesome on the day but whenever plaudits like that are strewn around I always take the state and quality of the opposition into account before that of the winners. We might not have been expected to win but that surely is no excuse for rolling over as we did.

[Stuart]

Because, by definition since they won 3 points off us and are not 3 points ahead of us, we have done better than them in the other 24 games against everyone else.

Little bit skewed logic that EiT. I can see your argument but it would only really hold water if we had all played the same teams.

The fact they both beat Rovers at Ewood gives them the edge. Let's see where we are in relation to each other come May.

[thenodrog]

Little bit skewed logic that EiT. I can see your argument but it would only really hold water if we had all played the same teams.

The fact they both beat Rovers at Ewood gives them the edge. Let's see where we are in relation to each other come May.

Where were we in the table after 19 games? That might be a slightly more meaningful comparision.

[Lurid Coat]

Looked at the remaining 12 fixtures for each of the bottom five and I think Rovers will be safe by just 1 point.

My prediction:

16 Bolton 36

17 Rovers 34

18 Wolves 33

19 & 20 QPR & Wigan 32

I admire your optimism (never thought I'd say that to you!), but I can't for the life of me see us getting more than 11 points from the remaining matches. Rovers, Wolves and Wigan to go down for me, I'm afraid

[Sparky Marky]

Rovers Wigan Wolves.

[Mercer]

In a 'normal' PL season, I'd say we were doomed but there are 5 very poor sides down there who seem to keep shooting themselves in the foot, one way or another. At one time. 40 points was seen as the 'Holy Grail' but I'm convinced 35 points will do the trick and we will get them providing 'Yak' stays fit.

[BiggusLaddus]

Difficult one to guess. There's usually one or two teams that are cut adrift from the rest, giving everybody else a few more points, so this year's final points target may well be slightly lower.

It seems pretty certain that three from the bottom five will go down and it could be any three. You'd expect one to go on a run and get out of trouble and I think QPR are still probably favourites to do it.

[Hughesy]

The next 2 games will have a big say in our outcome.

Both against bottom 6 clubs with minimum 4pts needed and more importantly not handing 3 points to a rival, also Bolton face QPR next week. After the next 2 games we have another 6 pointer where as QPR start a very hard run

[nellybc]

You'd expect one to go on a run and get out of trouble and I think QPR are still probably favourites to do it.

I know we still have a couple of the big teams to play but qpr's fixtures seem a lot tougher than ours

Rovers Wigan Wolves QPR Bolton

Villa H Swansea H Fulham A Everton H Man City A

Wolves A Norwich A Rovers H Bolton H QPR A

Sunderland H West Brom H Man Utd A Liverpool H Villa A

Bolton A Liverpool A Norwich A Sunderland A Rovers H

Man Utd H Stoke H Bolton H Arsenal H Wolves A

WBA A Chelsea A Stoke A Man Utd A Fulham H

Liverpool H Man Utd H Arsenal H Swansea H Newcastle A

Swansea A Arsenal A Sunderland A West Brom A Spurs H

Norwich H Fulham A Man City H Spurs H Swansea H

Spurs A Newcastle H Swansea A Chelsea A Sunderland A

Wigan H Rovers A Everton H Stoke H West Brom H

and there was me hoping that would work!!

[rigger]

Maximum 75 days left of Premiership football for Rovers now.

Thats almost two seasons

[Steve Moss]

16th Rovers

17th QPR

18th Bolton

19th Wigan

20th Wolves

And Kean and Venkys to celebrate victory, as 16th is close enough to top ten and a cup for them to consider their promise fulfilled. And I'll be grateful enough that we survived to not sneer too loudly.

[SharrockDownSouth]

Quick go at the predictor, just doing the Rovers results gives a total of 31 points...

Villa(H) Draw

Wolves(A) Loss

Sunderland(H) Loss

Bolton(A) Draw

ManU(H) Loss

WestBrom(A) Draw

L'pool(H) Draw

Swansea(A) Loss

Norwich(H) Win

Spurs(A) Loss

Wigan(H) Win

Chelsea(A) Loss

[KyleBRFC]

Had a go on the predictor also heres the bottom end of the table ive got...

------Team-----------GD----PTS

14 West Brom -12 39

15 Swansea -17 35

16 QPR -23 34

17 Blackburn -29 33

---------------------------------

18 Wolves -28 31

19 Bolton -39 26

20 Wigan -43 24

Now teams fixtures and my predtions. (Bottom 5, QPR, Us, Wolves, Wigan and Bolton)

Blackburn:

Villa (H) Draw

Wolves (A) Draw

Sunderland (A) Loss

Bolton (A) Win

Man Utd (H) Loss

West Brom (A) Loss

Liverpool (H) Loss

Norwich (H) Win

Tottenham (A) Loss

Wigan (H) Win

Chelsea (A) Loss

QPR:

Everton (H) Win

Bolton (A) Draw

Liverpool (H) Loss

Sunderland (A) Loss

Arsenal (H) Draw

Man Utd (A) Loss

Swansea (H) Win

West Brom (A) Draw

Tottenham (H) Draw

Chelsea (A) Loss

Stoke (H) Win

Man City (A) Loss

Wolves:

Fulham (A) Loss

Blackburn (H) Draw

Man Utd (A) Loss

Norwich (A) Loss

Bolton (H) Win

Stoke (A) Loss

Arsenal (H) Loss

Sunderland (A) Loss

Man City (H) Loss

Swansea (A) Draw

Everton (H) Draw

Wigan (A) Win

Bolton

Man City (A) Loss

QPR (H) Draw

Aston Villa (A) Loss

Blackburn (H) Loss

Wolves (A) Loss

Fulham (H) Draw

Newcastle (A) Loss

Tottenham (H) Loss

Swansea (H) Win

Sunderland (A) Loss

West Brom (H) Draw

Stoke (A) Loss

Wigan

Swansea (H) Draw

Norwich (A) Loss

West Brom (H) Draw

Liverpool (A) Loss

Stoke (H) Draw

Chelsea (A) Loss

Man Utd (H) Loss

Arsenal (A) Loss

Fulham (A) Loss

Newcastle (H) Draw

Blackburn (A) Loss

Wolves (H) Loss

Now thats what I think will happen it will definitaly be between us and Wolves for the 3rd relegation spot and it really could go either way and you never know what your going to get with us, games with should get something from we usually balls up but its sure to be a very very nervous last day as I think it will go to the wire.

[LeChuck]

You honestly think Bolton and Wigan will only win one game between them for the reason of the season?

Those predictor things are useless, anything can happen in one game. It's much more logical to look at the games in block of four/five.

[Ozz]

Thats almost two seasons

Real time days!!

Free Travel AND pie for those going to Wolves away.

Venkys, they just keep on giving.

[broadsword]

Pie?

Bloody hell.

Who cares about frigging pies. Desultory.

[Exiled in Toronto]

Little bit skewed logic that EiT. I can see your argument but it would only really hold water if we had all played the same teams.

The fact they both beat Rovers at Ewood gives them the edge. Let's see where we are in relation to each other come May.

I'm not sure a one-off game last August is a great predictor as to how we and Wolves will each do over the remaining 13 games. We're all as bad as each other; luck, injuries etc will play a huge part I reckon

[winstonsmith]

Real time days!!

Free Travel AND pie for those going to Wolves away.

Venkys, they just keep on giving.

What is it with Venky's and eating pies in Wolverhampton ?

[Stuart]

Pie?

Bloody hell.

Who cares about frigging pies. Desultory.

Free travel is a good offer though. Too little and too late spring to mind, however.

What a shame it isn't a one way ticket to India for Kean !

[MarkBRFC]

That predictor thing is a bugger.

Had us, Wigan & Bolton going down. We got 31 points, had two wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats from our last 6 games.

QPR stayed up on 32.

Like someone else said though its a load of crap really, impossible to predict.

I can't see any more than 35 points being needed this season though.

[Stuart]

That predictor thing is a bugger.

Had us, Wigan & Bolton going down. We got 31 points, had two wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats from our last 6 games.

QPR stayed up on 32.

Like someone else said though its a load of crap really, impossible to predict.

I can't see any more than 35 points being needed this season though.

Impressive.