perthblue02 Posted June 23, 2016 Posted June 23, 2016 Why bark yourself when you have a dog? Billy Bragg tweeted yesterday: Not everyone that voted leave is racist, but all racists will vote to leave. I've a lot time for Billy, but not sure I agree with that, or it helps the debate. The same all for democracy Billy Brag that was telling people not to vote?
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Moderation Lead K-Hod Posted June 23, 2016 Moderation Lead Posted June 23, 2016 Why bark yourself when you have a dog? Billy Bragg tweeted yesterday: Not everyone that voted leave is racist, but all racists will vote to leave. I've a lot time for Billy, but not sure I agree with that, or it helps the debate. It's a bit melodramatic is that!
Ste B Posted June 23, 2016 Posted June 23, 2016 He's not banned, why didn't he post that himself? Not like him to be shy! I think he has to acknowledge the ban. I don't think he will do that.
oldjamfan1 Posted June 23, 2016 Posted June 23, 2016 I know it is not a good place to judge but from social media it seems like remain shouting loudest especially from the under 30's, although when they follow it up with "because they wont allow us in eurovision" you have got to smile It was a similar scenario with the Scottish independence referendum. If you formulated your prediction on what was being posted on social media it would have been on a landslide 'yes' vote.
den Posted June 23, 2016 Posted June 23, 2016 My thinking is that the high "grey vote" will vote leave.
yoda Posted June 23, 2016 Author Posted June 23, 2016 He's not banned, why didn't he post that himself? Not like him to be shy! You know why Why bark yourself when you have a dog? Billy Bragg tweeted yesterday: Not everyone that voted leave is racist, but all racists will vote to leave. I've a lot time for Billy, but not sure I agree with that, or it helps the debate. Bunkum I think he has to acknowledge the ban. I don't think he will do that. Exactly right
Moderation Lead K-Hod Posted June 23, 2016 Moderation Lead Posted June 23, 2016 You know why Ha, I was only joshing!
yoda Posted June 23, 2016 Author Posted June 23, 2016 I think remain will comfortably win. I think it is like the silent conservative vote in the last general election. It won't be comfortable as the result will be close I think, what the EU does next will be crucial.
Backroom Mike E Posted June 23, 2016 Backroom Posted June 23, 2016 What a tosser Billy Bragg is! It's the equivalent of the 'Muslims are terrorists' or 'White people are racists'. Nothing but an attempt to divide people rather than unite. Pillock.
den Posted June 23, 2016 Posted June 23, 2016 Why bark yourself when you have a dog? Billy Bragg tweeted yesterday: Not everyone that voted leave is racist, but all racists will vote to leave. I've a lot time for Billy, but not sure I agree with that, or it helps the debate. There's a lot of folk who don't believe they're racist, but who in fact are. A lot.
yoda Posted June 23, 2016 Author Posted June 23, 2016 Remain 56% Leave 44% It will be closer than that I think Paul. The demographics should be interesting
Gav Posted June 23, 2016 Posted June 23, 2016 Remain 56% Leave 44% Its never been in doubt as far as I'm concerned, this despite an embarrassing campaign by remain. The vast majority of modern day politicians are a waste of space, no principles, no morals, just lies lies and more lies. Boris is probably more in than out and Cameron is probably more out than in, but both are playing politics and voting opposite to where their hearts really tell them Load of old bunkum.
T J Hooker Posted June 23, 2016 Posted June 23, 2016 I know it is not a good place to judge but from social media it seems like remain shouting loudest especially from the under 30's, although when they follow it up with "because they wont allow us in eurovision" you have got to smile Thats what ive noticed, remain are the most vocal online, but out and about near me leave seems pretty unanimous and there's signs for it all over the place.
RibbleValleyRover Posted June 23, 2016 Posted June 23, 2016 A few things concern me: - Polling companies got it spectacularly wrong last year. They should have fixed this but you never know. - Turnout appears to be high in a lot of areas if reports are true. Is this passionate leavers (mostly the grey vote that always turns out for elections) or is it like in the Scotland referendum people are rushing out to remain? Youth vote and the Labour vote is especially important if Remain are to win, both can be tricky groups to get the vote out for. - Weather is expected to get worse this evening in some areas especially in the south. Could put off a lot of people to vote after work. I wish I was confident as some but I think it will be closer than people think. I'll go with: Remain 53% Leave 47%
Gav Posted June 23, 2016 Posted June 23, 2016 I know the weather is a factor Ribble, but you have to ask yourself how much does a vote really mean if people won't go out in the rain/cold to vote.
RibbleValleyRover Posted June 23, 2016 Posted June 23, 2016 I know the weather is a factor Ribble, but you have to ask yourself how much does a vote really mean if people won't go out in the rain/cold to vote. Seen some of the pictures of London? It's like a monsoon there in some parts, flooding has closed some of the polling stations and they have had to be moved. Will the youth go out in that?
Gav Posted June 23, 2016 Posted June 23, 2016 Seen some of the pictures of London? It's like a monsoon there in some parts, flooding has closed some of the polling stations and they have had to be moved. Will the youth go out in that? North lads and lasses would be out to vote
yoda Posted June 23, 2016 Author Posted June 23, 2016 North lads and lasses would be out to vote You are right on that, maybe it's divine intervention to stop the south voting as they are more pro EU (London that is)
jim mk2 Posted June 23, 2016 Posted June 23, 2016 Stock market and sterling rose strongly today - markets scent a Remain victory
RibbleValleyRover Posted June 23, 2016 Posted June 23, 2016 Stock market and sterling rose strongly today - markets scent a Remain victory All going off polling data which could be wrong Jim... Trying to be positive but my gut feeling is it's going to be close.
perthblue02 Posted June 23, 2016 Posted June 23, 2016 - Turnout appears to be high in a lot of areas if reports are true. Is this passionate leavers (mostly the grey vote that always turns out for elections) or is it like in the Scotland referendum people are rushing out to remain? Youth vote and the Labour vote is especially important if Remain are to win, both can be tricky groups to get the vote out for. - I would hazard an educated guess that in the traditional working class Labour strongholds in England (like Blackburn) a majority will be in the leave camp as will the grey vote. Regarding the above this is more imo to do with the failings and not heeding or addressing warnings and complaints from their usual core support, and yes migration will be the big bone of contention, unfortunately turning round and calling these people bigots and racists and failing to engage with concerns harbours resentment. I would think the grey vote would depend on how they view what they were sold 40 odd years ago and can they trust what they are being sold now. Younger voters I would expect to be in the remain camp Regardless what you think of Farage, has one person ever turned traditional party politics on their head like we are seeing ? and is that a bad thing?
RibbleValleyRover Posted June 23, 2016 Posted June 23, 2016 I would hazard an educated guess that in the traditional working class Labour strongholds in England (like Blackburn) a majority will be in the leave camp as will the grey vote. Regarding the above this is more imo to do with the failings and not heading or addressing warnings and complaints from their usual core support, and yes migration will be the big bone of contention, unfortunately turning round and calling these people bigots and racists and failing to engage with concerns harbours resentment. Younger voters I would expect to be in the remain camp Every bit of polling breakdown I've seen strongly suggests that's the case, but youth voters are the most unreliable when it comes to actually voting. Maybe this time it's different as this decision is going to affect the younger generation far more.
gumboots Posted June 23, 2016 Posted June 23, 2016 Stop talking about the grey vote. I know a lot of grey haired voters, myself included, who will vote remain. It depends where you live, what your own experiences are, how you were brought up, all sorts of things
Backroom Tom Posted June 23, 2016 Backroom Posted June 23, 2016 Stock market and sterling rose strongly today - markets scent a Remain victory I noticed this today, BT shareprice dropped from £4.30 to £3.97 last week due to uncertainty, it closed today at just shy of £4.40 up 10p today. There seems to be confidence somewhere of a Remain vote
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