Expected Points Comparison

[norwichblue]

Current PPG: 1.79

[philipl]

I bet the points progress chart is looking pretty again...

[wilsdenrover]

37 minutes ago, philipl said:

I bet the points progress chart is looking pretty again...

[RevidgeBlue]

Leeds and Sheffield United are currently averaging a jiff over two points a game which is 92 points over the season and can't see them dropping off from that much or it being realistic for us to be challenging for the automatic spots.

After fourteen years of nothingness apart from a League one promotionthough, it would be wonderful to finally contest a Championship play off campaign for the first time under this ownership.

[rog of the rovers]

Doing some planning ahead of us recording our podcast this evening (should be out for the weekend)

Looking completely objectively

Teams need 72 points (on average) to make the playoffs. Lets say this remains the same, Rovers need 9 wins (or the equivalent) from their remaining 15 games to reach this target.

27 points from 15 games.

69 points was enough when Sunderland scraped in (and Rovers missed out under JDT on goal difference) so that is 8 wins, or a combination of 7 wins and three draws. Six wins and Six draws also would mean 69 points, but the overall point is that we would likely need 8 wins to be in with a real shot.

Similarly it is important not to lose to those in and around us. West Bromwich Albion away, Norwich, Middlesbrough and Sheffield Wednesday at home (these two are back to back at the start of April).

Away fixtures to target:

Luton Town (18/24 at home)

Derby County (20/24 at home)

Swansea City (21/24 at home)

Stoke City (23/24 at home)

Two wins out of these four combined with continued home form looks the only likely route to the playoffs.

On paper there is still a path to the playoffs. But as we know once the fixtures start to run out the margin for error is minimal.

Edited February 5 by rog of the rovers