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Uncouth Garb - The BRFCS Store
Everything posted by rog of the rovers
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Another thing to remember with Gallagher is that he usually misses at least one good chunk of the season through injury, he's done this in every season since he rejoined on a permanent basis. League Stats only 2019/20 - 28 starts 14 sub appearances - 6 goals, 2 assists. 2020/21 - 24 starts 15 sub appearances - 8 goals, 3 assists. 2021/22 - 28 starts 9 sub appearances - 9 goals, 3 assists 2022/23 - 27 starts 7 sub appearances - 8 goals, 2 assists 2023/24 - 20 starts 4 sub appearances - 3 goals, 3 assists. Rolling average - 25 starts 10 sub appearances - 7 goals, 3 assists
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This is where any reasonable model or strategy breaks down. Szmodics had the season of his life in 2023/24. Will he be able to repeat that next season? The odds of doing so are unlikely, not impossible, but improbable. Similarly as we saw with Dack, injuries can strike at any point. How much did Sammie play through the pain barrier last season (heavily strapped knee for much of the run in)? If an offer of £10m came in, you'd be crazy not to sell. BUT and it is a big BUT This money HAS to be reinvested! I see Birmingham are linked with Stansfield, he'd be a perfect punt with the money from SS. Likewise someone in a similar situation to what Adam Armstrong found himself in, at a big club without a clear pathway, but desperate to get a chance somewhere. A Charlie Patino or Tom Cannon spring to mind. The overwhelming and developing fear is that Sammie will go and no one will come in as a replacement. If that's the case, its a deal which further cements the impending doom.
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I know on here we’re biased being Rovers fans, but I think we’re a top 10 team in English football when it comes to youth development and youth players being given an opportunity to showcase their talents. If Finneran has gone, good luck to him. But I can’t help feel another 18 months here would have given him a chance to play first team football and grow in an environment without unrealistic expectations. I felt the same about Phillips, always feels like he left a year too soon. Rovers won’t stand in your way if it’s good for you (and them) always have done and no doubt always will.
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2024/25 Season Tickets
rog of the rovers replied to TheRevAshton's topic in Blackburn Rovers Fans Messageboard
Was about to come on and say the same thing 🤣 Will be renewing though, fortunately I can separate the enjoyment pre-match, the company during and the context post match to keep me coming back for more. -
2024/25 Season Tickets
rog of the rovers replied to TheRevAshton's topic in Blackburn Rovers Fans Messageboard
Rovers ticket prices 10 years ago for the 2014/15 season. Italic prices are those adjusted for inflation (using the Bank of England inflation calculator) https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/inflation/inflation-calculator https://web.archive.org/web/20140528010047/http://www.rovers.co.uk/news/article/another-winning-rovers-deal-1571638.aspx Prices down against inflation in almost every area, large drops in Jack Walker, Riverside ironically worse value for money in 2024/25 if you don't "Win the raffle" -
2024/25 Season Tickets
rog of the rovers replied to TheRevAshton's topic in Blackburn Rovers Fans Messageboard
I get the sentiment and not wanting to put something like this on a credit card, but most people probably get two chances if paying by credit card? June bill if purchased straight away and July bill if purchased closer to the deadline? -
Amazing how much turnover in the squad/team in just three years. Euro 2020 Final vs. Italy (played 11th July 2021) Kalvin Phillips, Raheem Sterling, Mason Mount all started, all miss the squad completely this time. Jordan Henderson, Marcus Rashford, Jadon Sancho all came off the bench, all miss the squad completely this time. 6/16 or 37.5% of Englands players in the match miss the 26 man squad entirely, just three years on. Non playing substitues that also miss out on the squad this time include. Tyrone Mings, Conor Coady, Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Reece James. Other members of the squad to miss out, Ben Chilwell, Ben White, Sam Johnstone. An incredible 13/26 or half the entire squad miss out on Euro 2024, just three years later.
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2024/25 Season Tickets
rog of the rovers replied to TheRevAshton's topic in Blackburn Rovers Fans Messageboard
Both a reduction from this year, but I get the point. Rovers are so skewed by the supply and demand model. Supply is almost always going to outweigh demand. What I'd love personally was for the club to almost call out the fans and say "Season tickets are £250 anywhere in the ground, lets see what you're made of. Whats the excuse for not coming now?" -
2024/25 Season Tickets
rog of the rovers replied to TheRevAshton's topic in Blackburn Rovers Fans Messageboard
With the 30th Anniversary of 1994/95 at the top of their agenda (or so it seems) I was thinking of a strategy that could include a reference to that, whilst dropping the prices a bit and introducing a Flexible Ticketing strategy for out of town supporters. Adults £394.95 (works out at c.£17 a game) OAPs £294.95 Young Adults £194.95 Under 18s £94.95 Under 12s £30.00 (with Adult ticket) Adult Flexi Ticket - Any 10 games (non Burnley/Preston/Bolton) in JW Upper towards Darwen End) - £194.95 Any 5 games (non Burnley/Preston/Bolton - in JW Upper towards Darwen End) - £94.95 Something along those lines would be fair and also a nod to the 94/95 campaign. -
@superniko with some stellar forum work. Checked the odds on Leicester win, Plymouth win, Birmingham win and Sheffield Wednesday to draw or win (Covering both permutations that send us down) The odds have shifted on Bet365 slightly, now out at 19.8/1 from 18/1 If you do think we'll go down, then thats better odds than the 12/1 on us to be relegated in the 'Outright' betting
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Some subplots to file under ''Well I didn't see that coming.'' Bradley Dack winner for Sunderland against Sheffield Wednesday Tyler Morton/Ryan Giles winner for Hull against Plymouth Inspired performance from Grant Hanley and/or Danny Batth keeps Blues at bay and dare I even think it.... Ashley Barnes or Shane Duffy winner for Norwich against Birmingham.
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Leicester winning the title tonight also helps IMHO. 100 points would still be achievable for them, but they got 102 points in 2013/14, so even two wins doesn't clinch any records for them. The most successful Championship team (last 30 years) was Reading at 106 points so not a chance on breaking that record either. A win tonight for them, title wrapped up and a jovial, laissez faire, party atmosphere on Saturday where they're lifting the trophy come what may, would be the best case scenario for us.
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If my maths are correct (see GCSE level- Raise 3 to the Power of 4 or 3^4 ) there are 81 different combinations of possibilities for Rovers, Sheffield Wednesday, Plymouth and Birmingham. Only 2/81 would see Rovers relegated. 1. Rovers loss, Sheffield Wednesday win, Plymouth win and Birmingham win 2. Rovers loss, Sheffield Wednesday draw, Plymouth win and Birmingham win Any other combination sees us safe to fight on in the Championship next season.
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2024/25 Season Tickets
rog of the rovers replied to TheRevAshton's topic in Blackburn Rovers Fans Messageboard
Thinking about season tickets for next season and the tough sell to the fans that 2024/25 will bring (no matter which division) got me thinking about Rovers' poor home record this campaign. I also felt as though we've not scored too many at the Blackburn End this season, so looked into it further and we've scored 13 goals in front of our end! And only four Blackburn End goals in the 10 home games in 2024. Rovers (League) Goals in front of the Blackburn End in 2023/24 1. 19/8/23 - Hull City - Gallagher goal to give Rovers the lead (lost 1-2) 2. 21/10/23 - Cardiff City - Rankin-Costello goal to give Rovers the lead (won 1-0) 3. 10/11/23 - Preston North End - Szmodics equalizer (lost 1-2) 4,5,6,7. 29/11/23 - Birmingham - Szmodics double, Hill and Leonard (won 4-2) 8. 12/12/23 - Bristol City - Scott Wharton header to give Rovers two goal lead (won 2-1) 9. 23/12/23 - Watford - Adam Wharton goal to give Rovers the lead (lost 1-2) 10. 1/1/24 - Rotherham - Szmodics goal to give Rovers the lead (drew 2-2) 11. 3/2/24 - QPR - Gallagher goal to make it 1-2 (lost 1-2) 12. 24/2/24 - Norwich - Hyam goal to equalise (drew 1-1) 13. 5/3/24 - Millwall - Szmodics goal to equalise (drew 1-1) -
Rovers win (52pts) Survive if: Birmingham don’t win or Sheffield Wednesday don’t win or Plymouth don’t win Rovers draw (50pts) Survive if: Huddersfield win Huddersfield draw and Sheffield Wednesday lose. Rovers lose (49pts) Goes to last day. Best case scenario is a Huddersfield v Birmingham draw. Sheffield Wednesday and Plymouth to lose. Worst case scenario is Birmingham City, Sheffield Wednesday and Plymouth victories. Would leave Rovers in the bottom three going to Leicester.
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A win tomorrow guarantees safety. A point tomorrow means Huddersfield could only catch us with two wins and a 13 goal swing. Sheffield Wednesday would also need to win both remaining games to catch us. A loss moves the need for points on to Coventry (h)
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v Millwall (h) - 5/3/24
rog of the rovers replied to chaddyrovers's topic in Blackburn Rovers Fans Messageboard
That performance is on Eustace for me, tactics very confused at the end. Won’t face many poorer sides than that Millwall team tonight. Tronstad, Hedges and most importantly Pears need to be fit for Saturday. Huge game again and dare I say it…MUST WIN! -
v Millwall (h) - 5/3/24
rog of the rovers replied to chaddyrovers's topic in Blackburn Rovers Fans Messageboard
Everything crossed for tonight's game, definitely a must not lose. A win would be huge and potentially propel us forward towards the weekend and Plymouth. I think as always the first goal is huge, if we can get it, it should calm the players and the crowd. I do feel as though we're due some luck too. Not had a penalty in the league since August 👀maybe tonight is the night? Ayari and Chrisene to come in for Moran and Pickering for me, wouldn't be surprised to see Markanday get a start too, but whoever can get the job done is good for me! -
I must admit I did exactly the same. £25 at 16/1, though I also admit that I cashed out last night at £53.03 because even having such an idea was making me feel uneasy. I'm sure I could have cashed out for more in a few weeks, or even won the bet at £425.00 but it felt wrong, glad I did it, come on Rovers!!!
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What a night to be a Rover! Almost better going out as we did than to get spanked away at City in the next round, or fluff a chance of Wembley against someone like Coventry at home. So many standout performances, Pears, Scott, Sammie. Substitutes all contributed, special mentions to the much maligned Markanday, Sigurdsson and Ayari. Even Billy getting his Rovers bow in what could be the start of a cult hero run in blue and white. That team for the last hour was without Hedges, JRC, Gallagher, Tronstad, Buckley, Dolan and Pickering, yet peformed admirably. I can only echo whats been said and hope that this is the catalyst for an upward trajectory in the league for the rest of the campaign. Eustace certainly won a few over last night and the overall style was good. Long may it continue. Just in finishing.....Back to back shockers from the referees, both against Norwich and Newcastle, always rated Jared Gillett too! Did we get any 50/50 decisions? The free kick right on the edge in stoppage time was more of a free kick than the Norwich goal on Saturday! The stats of fouls for and against make incredible reading. How Schar and Bruno G. avoided bookings in the game is beyond me, really poor from the officials. That said it was only a minor blemish on what was a really enjoyable night for Rovers.
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John Eustace - our head coach
rog of the rovers replied to chaddyrovers's topic in Blackburn Rovers Fans Messageboard
My biggest gripe with Eustace at the moment is the term. ''Sweat Blood'' Hematidrosis FC