bluebruce
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Everything posted by bluebruce
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Had some injury issues this season I believe, but if he keeps this up maybe he'll be working his way into contention soon. He'll need to, as at 20 he's approaching shit or bust time.
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Yes, the odds are 50/50 each time, but the odds of 10 home ties in a row or 10 away ties in a row would still be very high (I've not done the maths but 1 in 1024 sounds right). However the odds of 9 home in a row and then 1 away would be exactly the same. It's essentially the odds of any given sequence of 10. So, H, A, H, H, H, H, H, A, A, A would have the exact same odds of happening (1024 to 1) before the sequence was initiated. Because there are 1024 different sequence combinations of home and away for any ten cup draws (not including neutral grounds of course). 10 home ties in a row for the most marketable club in England does seem suspicious to me though. As well as irritating when we had I think it was 4 away draws in a row for it this year? Can't remember last year to know if that sequence extends further.
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The games that really choked you
bluebruce replied to broadsword's topic in Blackburn Rovers Fans Messageboard
Speaking of greatly disappointing European games, and with the Champions League campaign and Trelleborgs already having been covered...Celtic. Both games. The first one of course we utterly outplayed them for nearly the entire match, then conceded a late Larsson sucker punch. We all went home thoroughly expecting to pound them at Ewood with home advantage. Instead we lost 2-0. Many like to say we got just as outclassed at Ewood as they were at Celtic Park, but I've always thought that was bollocks. The stats back this up somewhat...we had more shots, and 6 shots on target to Celtic's 2. So they scored the only times they hit the target. We also had more possession and more corners. I felt robbed in both games, I don't care what anyone else says. I feel the memories of the second game are distorted by the expectation vs outcome, the 2 goal deficit rather than just 1 late sucker punch, and how Celtic's fans thoroughly outsang us. It was definitely depressing trudging home with them lot going wild. -
However, it wasn't a standard request that could have reasonably been anticipated, so I refuse to blame the club for it. If it was a routine and mandatory part of deals, we would be fully to blame for not having catered to it in time. But I'm sorry, we're not to blame for the league's illogical nitpicking. By that logic, they could then ask us any number of further irrelevant questions (what happens if Rovers are relegated under a half moon in a leap year? What happens if Rovers transfer the club to the French leagues? Does he get a payrise if Rovers qualify for the Champions League? etc etc) taking us past any deadline no matter what we do, and that would still be our fault. We are, of course, 100% responsible for not having the right people in the right places at the right times though. The club are not blameless in this, but neither are the EFL or Forest. At least Rovers are the only party of the three admitting some culpability. The mistakes made by Rovers absolutely cannot happen again, nor similar ones. Lessons must be learnt. I'd think a head should roll somewhere too, but I'm not familiar enough with the internal processes and the days events to say whose head it should be.
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I won't criticise JDT in general for it, but I do think the subs were a mistake. Not in terms of freshening up personnel, or who came on, more that it seemed to be going fine and I didn't see any need to change formation. I said at the time it seemed a risk to me. But he has shown this season he is a much better manager than his predecessor, who never got out of the starting blocks in this competition for us in 5 years.
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It confused me right away when he got a yellow. I don't know the letter of the law on it, especially these days, but for me it makes sense that although the player didn't intentionally handball it, the shot was going in the net, so the penalty makes sense. If you think it's deliberate, you definitely send him off I would think. If you don't, but it needs to be given because his hand stopped a nearly certain goal and the rest of his body wasn't going to, you give the penalty but no card. Not the first time I've seen a yellow given for handball though, but I'm sure they ruled years ago that a deliberate handball is an immediate red. I think refs just bottle it, especially if they've already given a penalty, because handball intent can be hard to discern in real time, so they take a 'safe' middle option. Of course, this ref had the benefit of VAR. Personally I don't think he meant to handle it, and his arm was in a natural position for trying to get the block in.
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U21s 2-1 down at half time to Liverpool. Kaminski in goal. Ours scored by Gilsenan.
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You obviously just don't rate the player, but young players who have established themselves with us should be eligible for deals of at least four years. 3 year deals are a bit crap...you need to start thinking of negotiating a new one a year down the line, usually with another payrise. A 5 year deal for a player who can fetch a fee and wouldn't be put on a particularly big wedge at this stage provides a lot of security for the club, and gives us a strong negotiating position if clubs come in for them. Dolan has shown enough for me that I'd be delighted if we put him to a 5 year deal. A 4 year deal would be lovely to hear about too. A 3 year would be fairly disappointing and just kick the problem a bit down the line, at which point it could potentially take a huge pay rise to avoid losing him for free.
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There may be a clause, there may not. Morton playing badly and still being in the team doesn't prove there is, much as him being dropped recently doesn't prove he's not. On the first point, sometimes managers subconsciously attach a bit more calibre to loanees belonging to huge Premiership sides like Liverpool. Also even without a clause, a player might be kept in the team to retain good relationships with Liverpool for future loanees, especially after we (rightly) dropped Clarkson last season. Obviously I'm not saying that's a good policy, but it could factor into the thinking if the management don't see much between Morton and Buckley. On the second point, we've no idea what form a clause would take if it is there. It could be something like must play 70% of the games he is fit for to avoid a fine, in which case playing him so much early on would mean we barely need to play him now to get that over the line. It could be a monthly thing, where we are charged more if he doesn't play any games in a month, in which case just sticking him in now and then would do the job, but it wouldn't explain how much he was played for most of the season. Or he must start 90% of games he's fit for each month, or over the season, but now we're in the business end of the season and promotion is on the line, we don't give a fuck about the fine anymore. Or it could be pretty much anything else. Without knowing how a clause would be structured, it's impossible to infer whether it does or doesn't exist based on how things have gone.
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We probably just assumed Aberdeen would play him. From what I've seen, and the standard of Scottish football, I'm surprised they aren't. Like, not even off the bench apart from once, early days, when they were down to 10 men...he might not have been breaking into our team but I shouldn't think anybody expected he'd play so little for Aberdeen. They must be mad at us for taking Hedges off them fairly cheap (kidding, before anyone starts)! It's looking like a bad loan though so far. Hopefully we are in dialogue with Aberdeen in the hopes of improving the situation. If he doesn't earn himself a starting berth that's one thing, but to not even be getting chances off the bench to show he deserves a starting berth, that just makes for an utter waste of a loan, of a player we could have used as backup or a bench option ourselves.
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v Reading (h) - 15/3/23, 7:45pm
bluebruce replied to arbitro's topic in Blackburn Rovers Fans Messageboard
He really isn't. He's a year or two younger than them (well, 5 younger than Buckley and 2 younger than Morton), but I don't see him as behind them at all. If I were to base it purely on appearances for us this season, I'd say he's a year or 2 ahead of them frankly. And he certainly showed more consistency, at least when I've seen him. Morton has been churning out shit performances for a good chunk of the season. Probably seen one fairly ineffective half from Wharton. -
v Reading (h) - 15/3/23, 7:45pm
bluebruce replied to arbitro's topic in Blackburn Rovers Fans Messageboard
I think a Rovers fan posting on the Reading forum summed up how I feel heading into this one: I am primarily a Blackburn fan (I do have a major soft spot for Reading so I come on here to keep up with the goings on). Let me tell you, this is the perfect game for Rovers to lose. Against a team that is out of form Former manager A striker that always scores against us (Lucas Joau) Against a team with no away wins so far this season Against a team with no goal in a long time Midweek game Tickets are £10 and its just too much of a good opportunity to take to get a win in front of a bigger than normal crowd. Call me cynical but I've seen it too many times as a Rovers fan and I'm predicting a Reading win. Apparently it's actually 3 away wins Reading have this season, but still. I dread games where we have an opportunity to undo a team's run of bad form. I also dread coming up against ex-players and to a lesser degree ex-managers. I really want to watch tonight, but I feel it might almost be a good thing that I can't due to work. -
v Reading (h) - 15/3/23, 7:45pm
bluebruce replied to arbitro's topic in Blackburn Rovers Fans Messageboard
And yet, has scored 1 less goal than him this season. -
John Buckley
bluebruce replied to Hoochie Bloochie Mama's topic in Blackburn Rovers Fans Messageboard
I believe the last update was that he's getting a scan.